- The – are favorites vs the –
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Miami Marlins () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Marlins vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 54-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 54-50 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 72.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Dane Myers | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dane Myers | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
Rays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dane Myers | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Rays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 69 games (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 91 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+4.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+11.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 55 games at home (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 47-55 against the Run Line (-17.85 Units / -13.27% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -9.66% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 54-50 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.71% ROI).
- 62-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 1.51% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.91% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -9.74% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (1,650/2,293) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 71% (623/873) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (109/188) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (487/873) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .257 (439 PA’s) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .222 (221 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (11 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 96th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters they faced (27/221 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins are just 28-64 (.304) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Marlins are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
The Marlins are just 86-22 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Marlins are 20-10 (.667) after a home win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are just 2-8 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Rays are 29-7 (.806) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Rays are 62-41 (.602) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 33-20 (.623) after a home loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 55 extra-base hits out of 222 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are batting .308 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .356 (795 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .446 this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Rays hitters are slugging .524 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Rays hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,170 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays pitchers have walked 150 of 2,364 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Yandy Díaz (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Nardi (Marlins): Triceps, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Blister, Day-to-Day
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds, including YRFI odds. With live sports betting and the best sportsbook promos the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
