- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Marlins are 1-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-2 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -120 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 +100 | -140 |
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Erik Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Charles Leblanc has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rene Pinto has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 1-7 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -73.33% ROI).
- 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -63.78% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -5.52% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 49.5% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -18.09% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.77% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -27.43% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (1,027/1,420) against right-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had second base stolen on him 24 times last season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (679/939) in two strike counts last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has had second base stolen on him 37 times since the start of the 2021 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .194 (116-for-597) against Shane McClanahan last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Shane McClanahan allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (63 Total Bases / 348 ABs) with two-strikes last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 34% (418/1,220) against Shane McClanahan last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan allowed an OPS of just .562 (641 PA’s) last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins are just 55-9 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Marlins are just 67-76 (.469) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Marlins are just 10-33 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Marlins are 39-5 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 830 strikeouts in 3,012 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .630 (3,012 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Marlins batted just .208 against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .284 (3,012 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays batted just .201 with runners on base over the last 30 days of the regular season (29 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters have grounded into 205 double plays in 2,580 opportunities (8%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
