Marlins vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

Colorado Rockies' Kris Bryant in the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, May 22 2022, in Denver.
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • The Marlins are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Marlins vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Marlins / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Marlins are 46-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 45-41 ATS.

Marlins vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-0, 2.59 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 1-7, 7.54 ERA

Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins-1.5 -110O 11 -118-165
Rockies +1.5 -110U 11 -102+135

Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+22.40 Units / 224% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Max Meyer has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • T.J. Rumfield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+18.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+15.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+3.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 47-38 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 4.88% ROI).

  • 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 7.83% ROI
  • 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 5.3% ROI
  • 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -14.1% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 45-41 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.53% ROI).

  • 33-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -7.07% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.81% ROI

Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +230
Mickey Moniak +333
Heriberto Hernandez +333
Kyle Stowers +340
TJ Rumfield +425

Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Goodman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Troy Johnston 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Kyle Karros 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Cole Carrigg 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Edouard Julien 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Heriberto Hernandez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Joe Mack 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are 40-9 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 20-11 (.645) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Rockies (30th runs allowed).

The Marlins are 91-9 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .870.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Rockies are just 25-5 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rockies are just 18-24 (.429) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Rockies are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .262 (1,638 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .536 (1,638 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rockies hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 37% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.03 runs per game (89/86) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 448.7 feet — — tied for 5th shortest in MLB

Opponents are hitting just .227 against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 533.6 feet — — longest in MLB

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (379.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .289 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.