- The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Miami Marlins (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Marlins vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 22-26 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +120 | O 11.5 -115 | -130 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | U 11.5 -105 | +105 |
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Garrett Cooper | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
| Jon Berti | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
| Eury Perez | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+3.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 18-30 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -29.1% ROI).
- 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 20-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -15.78% ROI
- 26-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 7.54% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 22-26 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -11.43% ROI).
- 20-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -20.63% ROI
- 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 12.46% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eury Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (13/29) of opposing batters over the last 30 days (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Eury Perez has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (13/39 PA’s) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 20% — second Percentile.
Eury Perez has a strikeout rate of 33% (13 SO in 39 PAs) over the last 30 days (2 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (32/81) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .996 (162 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .722 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .419 (26-for-62) against Austin Gomber in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 2% (1 SO in 41 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 9-8 (.529) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Marlins are just 1-21 (.045) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Marlins are just 66-17 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Marlins are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 22-45 (.328) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Rockies are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are just 9-16 (.360) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Rockies are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,361 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,665 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 297 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 52 of 416 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Marlins vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
