- The Marlins are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Rockies starting pitcher: Karl Kauffmann
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Miami Marlins (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Marlins vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 24-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 23-26 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 -110 | O 10.5 +100 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 10.5 -120 | +135 |
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Garrett Cooper | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -175 |
| Jon Berti | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -150 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+2.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 18-31 against the Run Line (-20 Units / -30.17% ROI).
- 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -17.43% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 9.23% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 23-26 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -9.43% ROI).
- 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 20-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -22.16% ROI
- 29-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 14.07% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 71% (291/409) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (177/247) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 42% (101/238) against Sandy Alcantara on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (230/409) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Karl Kauffmann has limited playing time.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 1-22 (.043) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Marlins are just 27-21 (.562) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Marlins are just 66-17 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rockies are just 57-28 (.671) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rockies are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rockies are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have 447 strikeouts in 1,697 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have 913 strikeouts in 3,393 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,697 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 53 of 425 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (956.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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