- The Marlins are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Marlins vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | MATV
The Miami Marlins (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on September 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.
Marlins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 7-10, 3.48 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 9-8, 3.96 ERA
Marlins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Marlins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+19.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Eury Perez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+27.00 Units / 675% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+3.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+13.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Heriberto Hernandez | +290 |
| Jac Caglianone | +350 |
| Carter Jensen | +400 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | +425 |
| Kyle Stowers | +425 |
Royals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heriberto Hernandez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jac Caglianone | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isaac Collins | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brian Navarreto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Marlins are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Marlins are 29-8 (.784) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Marlins are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Royals are just 52-8 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 62-77 (.446) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
The Royals are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters are slugging just .525 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .295 with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
Royals hitters are slugging just .369 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .669 (2,731 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (626.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Marlins have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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