• The Marlins are -125 favorites vs the Twins
• Marlins vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (-125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+105) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are ATS.

Marlins vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-0, 2.79 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-5, 6.87 ERA

Marlins vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+37.50 Units / 625% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+15.60 Units / 195% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.24 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.85 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Marlins are just 5-11 (.312) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Marlins are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Marlins are just 37-39 (.487) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Twins (26th runs allowed).

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Twins are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Twins are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Twins are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Twins are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have 10 extra-base hits out of 50 total hits (just 20%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .391 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .270 (795 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against right-handed relievers this season — highest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 55% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (125.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 72 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 72 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.27 runs per game (79/15) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.90 runs per game (78/41) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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