- The Marlins are -105 favorites vs the White Sox
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Miami Marlins (-105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-115) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Marlins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 35-29 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 33-32 ATS.
Marlins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Marlins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 54.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
White Sox vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -12.96% ROI).
- 35-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 7.74% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -13.05% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 4.76% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 33-32 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -3.24% ROI).
- 29-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -11.71% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -2.65% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (389/540) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 57% (309/540) against Sandy Alcantara this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (1,416/1,960) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has had second base stolen on him 34 times since last season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting just .080 (7-for-87) against Michael Kopech this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 58% (323/553) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .199 (49-for-246) against Michael Kopech this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 92nd Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 32 of 287 batters (11%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — ninth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins were just 51-14 (.785) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Marlins were just 60-40 (.600) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Marlins were 39-5 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Marlins were just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox were 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox were 74-23 (.763) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox were just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox were just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have grounded into 68 double plays in 435 opportunities (16%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .656 (3,579 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Marlins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 212 total hits (just 24%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 54 walks in 1,051 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,418 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .281 (1,232 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Marlins pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 250 of 2,492 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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