- The White Sox are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-125) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Marlins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 35-28 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 33-31 ATS.
Marlins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Marlins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+13.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
White Sox vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Eury Perez | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 52 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 99% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 29-34 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -14.46% ROI).
- 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 9.13% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3.39% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 33-31 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -2.09% ROI).
- 28-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -4.11% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eury Perez has pitched 10.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Marcus Stroman has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Eury Perez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 23rd — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Eury Perez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.1 innings he’s appeared — Aaron Loup has the longest active streak at 45.1.
Opponents are hitting just .053 (1-for-19) against Eury Perez with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days (5 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 18 of 140 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 13 of 72 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (23/49) against Dylan Cease over the past seven days (1 games) — best in AL over the last week; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease in 2022 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are just 14-11 (.560) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox are just 11-83 (.117) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The White Sox are just 10-18 (.357) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 22-2 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,883 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,579 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have 482 strikeouts in 1,883 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 119 walks in 1,870 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,379 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have drawn 394 walks in 6,650 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,870 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% against Marlins pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Marlins pitchers over the last 30 days (26 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 248 of 2,460 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 56 of 569 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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