- The Angels (29-32) are -120 favorites vs the Mets (39-22)
- Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (3-2), 3.279 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-1), 2.813 ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New York Mets (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mets vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 39-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 30-31 ATS.
Mets vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 9 +100 | +100 |
Angels | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -120 | -120 |
Mets vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Juan Lagares has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 games at home (+3.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Juan Lagares has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-25 against the Run Line (+12.65 Units / 17.32% ROI).
- 39-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 14.14% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 6% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -14.46% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 30-31 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -10.51% ROI
Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of just .485 (42 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.017 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 151 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Jameson Taillon when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 98th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has not allowed a HR in any of his last nine starts dating back to April 12nd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Patrick Sandoval has not allowed a home run in any of the last 49.2 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 65.1.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .159 (17 Total Bases / 107 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .360 — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (277/610) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Yankees are 25-7 (.781) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Yankees are 17-3 (.850) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Yankees are 28-1 (.966) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels are just 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Angels are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Angels are just 26-7 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Angels are just 5-16 (.238) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .635 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 78% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 73% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 17 strikeouts in 49 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Angels are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Angels hitters are slugging just .408 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 143 of 2,154 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Angels pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 438.0 feet — — tied for shortest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2
Angels vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Hamstring, D10
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
- Starling Marte (Mets): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Colin Holderman (Mets): right shoulder, D15
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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