Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Mets are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The New York Mets (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 5-8 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 -135O 8 +100-225
Athletics +1.5 +110U 8 -120+180

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Starling Marte 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Mark Canha 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Starling Marte 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Mark Canha 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Starling Marte 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Mark Canha 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kodai Senga 5.5 -165 5.5 +125
James Kaprielian 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.62 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+3.20 Units / 107% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 33.89% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -2.66% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -12.41% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.55% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -28.52% ROI).

  • 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -37.69% ROI
  • 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 38.62% ROI
  • 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -47.7% ROI

Kodai Senga has a strikeout rate of 62% (10 SO in 16 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Kodai Senga this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .120 (3 Total Bases / 25 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed an OBP of just .207 (29 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 91st Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

James Kaprielian has walked 38 of 303 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

James Kaprielian has allowed a slugging percentage of .651 (69 Total Bases / 106 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .438 — third Percentile.

Opponents batted just .210 (13-for-62) against James Kaprielian on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .239 (16-for-67) against James Kaprielian on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 96th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets were 89-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Mets are 94-3 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mets were just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 25-39 (.391) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.

The Athletics are just 43-48 (.473) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

The Athletics are just 20-24 (.455) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .658.

The Athletics are just 7-51 (.121) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .629 (35 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .333.

Mets hitters are slugging 1.042 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .335 (4,549 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Mets batted .265 on the road in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,672 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.65 (113.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.47 (57.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .360 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
  • Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.