- The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Athletics starting pitcher: Shintaro Fujinami
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The New York Mets (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 5-9 ATS.
Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -115 | -190 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -105 | +155 |
Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 84% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Shea Langeliers has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.50 Units / 162% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.80 Units / 82% ROI)
Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fujinami | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
| Carlos Carrasco | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.62 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 9-5 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 37.12% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 2.86% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -5.11% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -3.63% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -33.02% ROI).
- 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -42.14% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 42.17% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -51.32% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 19% (3/16) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has had second base stolen on him 4 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (63 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .420 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.485 (121 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 1.044 — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shintaro Fujinami has an ERA of 17.55 (6.2 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 4.60 — 0 Percentile.
Shintaro Fujinami has a strike rate of just 55% (73/134) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (8/66) against Shintaro Fujinami this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Shintaro Fujinami has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mets are 38-28 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Mets are 84-6 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mets are 93-26 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Mets are 18-19 (.486) when underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) when favorites since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.
The Athletics are just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Athletics are just 21-26 (.447) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Athletics are just 31-57 (.352) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,596 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters are slugging .721 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Mets hitters are slugging .962 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.567 (38 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,716 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (3,146 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have walked 100 of 1,572 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.34 (122.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
Athletics pitchers have walked 77 of 586 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.47 (57.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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