Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 16

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 16, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mets starting pitcher: José Butto
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The New York Mets (-160) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 6-9 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +100O 8.5 +100-160
Athletics +1.5 -120U 8.5 -120+135

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Shea Langeliers has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.50 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)

Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Tommy Pham 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Mark Canha 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Tony Kemp 0.5 +1100 0.5

Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Pham 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Mark Canha 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Tony Kemp 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tommy Pham 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Mark Canha 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Tony Kemp 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.37 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 27.35% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 7.35% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -11.08% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.76% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -24.85% ROI).

  • 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -46% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 33.23% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -41.59% ROI

Jose Butto has limited playing time.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (45/241) against JP Sears since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed an OPS of .861 (32 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .535 — fourth Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 28% (9 SO in 32 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 11th Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .517 (15 Total Bases / 29 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets are 4-2 (.667) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Mets are 84-6 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Mets are 5-59 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mets are 54-22 (.711) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .546.

The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) when favorites since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.

The Athletics are just 7-54 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Athletics are just 1-6 (.143) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,631 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .476 (63 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .610 (41 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Mets hitters are slugging 1.036 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,752 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.47 (57.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Athletics have allowed 8.07 runs per game (121/15) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.72.

The Athletics have allowed 8.57 runs per game (60/7) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.77.

Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
  • Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60

Bet now on Mets vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.