• The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Blue Jays TV Channel: SNY | RSN | TVA

The New York Mets (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mets are 35-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 41-42 ATS.

Mets vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-2, 4.87 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 3-3, 3.56 ERA

Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.60 Units / 266% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+20.50 Units / 228% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.35 Units / 94% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-48 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -13.23% ROI).

• 35-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.9 Units / -25.76% ROI
• 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -4.59% ROI
• 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -4.66% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 41-42 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -3.35% ROI).

• 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -14.31% ROI
• 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.65% ROI
• 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -7.46% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mets are just 31-43 (.419) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 17-31 (.354) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Mets are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Mets are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Blue Jays are just 18-26 (.409) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Blue Jays are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.

The Blue Jays are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .593 (962 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 74 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .230 (1,651 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .674 (3,133 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .219 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 145 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 45 double plays in 594 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,046 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,046 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 139 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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