• The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Blue Jays TV Channel: SNY | RSN

The New York Mets (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on June 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mets are 35-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 41-43 ATS.

Mets vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 4-5, 4.02 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-6, 4.33 ERA

Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• Yohendrick Pinango has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
• Kevin Gausman has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+18.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.55 Units / 66% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 35-48 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -12% ROI).

• 35-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.9 Units / -26.44% ROI
• 38-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -5.71% ROI
• 39-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.54% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 41-43 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -4.23% ROI).

• 40-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -13.22% ROI
• 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.82% ROI
• 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -6.3% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mets are just 31-44 (.413) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 17-32 (.347) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Mets are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Mets are just 10-46 (.179) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Blue Jays are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Blue Jays are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Blue Jays are 18-87 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .599 (976 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 75 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 75 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .673 (3,168 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .651 (878 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .294 (878 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 147 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 46 double plays in 599 opportunities (8%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,073 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,073 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 140 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have had second base stolen on them 73 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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