• The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | GRAY | SNY

The New York Mets (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 53-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 62-56 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-8, 8.30 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 8-7, 4.05 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 52% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+19.30 Units / 96% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+16.20 Units / 162% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 54% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 71% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-63 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.27% ROI).

• 53-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -19.14% ROI
• 54-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 56-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -2.86% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 62-56 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 9.58% ROI).

• 71-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 6.18% ROI
• 56-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.08% ROI
• 57-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -2.81% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are 5-1 (.833) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are 5-1 (.833) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .305 (3,280 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 124 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .519 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (4,524 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .300 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .610 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 1.11 runs per game (132/119) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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