• The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | SNY

The New York Mets (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on August 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 53-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-56 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 3-2, 2.54 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 8-6, 2.97 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+17.00 Units / 189% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 51% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+18.30 Units / 72% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+17.05 Units / 85% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+15.90 Units / 159% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+14.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.10 Units / 44% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-64 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -6.44% ROI).

• 53-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.5 Units / -19.68% ROI
• 54-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -7.09% ROI
• 57-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -2.08% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 63-56 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 10.68% ROI).

• 72-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 6.74% ROI
• 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -5.86% ROI
• 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.02% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are 5-2 (.714) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 5-2 (.714) since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 125 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,424 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,192 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .515 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .552 (2,397 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 199 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1068.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (514.0 IP) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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