- The Braves (70-46) are -165 favorites vs the Mets (75-40)
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (13-4), 3.76 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (6-4), 3.11 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSO
The New York Mets (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 75-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 60-56 ATS.
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 33 games (+17.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 54 away games (+15.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 34 away games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 36 games at home (+17.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 60 of his last 104 games (+16.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 102 games (+14.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 53 games at home (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Spencer Strider | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 115 games (+21.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 115 games (+17.47 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 115 games (+16.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 77 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 90 games (+18.22 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 66 games (+18.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 75% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 64-51 against the Run Line (+16.3 Units / 11.71% ROI).
- 75-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.3 Units / 12.08% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 2.12% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -10.56% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 60-56 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 70-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 2.84% ROI
- 58-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 51-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -10.05% ROI
Carlos Carrasco: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .522 (35-for-67) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (24-for-64) against Carlos Carrasco on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — second Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.535 (82 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.028 — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 36 ABs ending on a two-strike curveball from Carlos Carrasco. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (138 SO in 363 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (50/118) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (149/371) against Spencer Strider this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 57% (12/21) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mets are 64-16 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Mets are 55-5 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mets are 26-5 (.839) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 48-6 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Braves are 61-14 (.813) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Braves are 30-3 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .334 (3,014 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters have just 593 strikeouts in 3,014 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .193 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Braves hitters are slugging .503 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .855 (874 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Braves hitters are slugging .314 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have walked 3 of 115 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Braves vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Max Fried (Braves): Head, D7
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): COVID, D10
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.