- The Braves (53-36) are -155 favorites vs the Mets (54-34)
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (6-6), 3.93 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (5-3), 4.21 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 54-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 46-43 ATS.
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -120 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 +100 | -155 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 47-41 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 5.71% ROI).
- 54-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 9.86% ROI
- 45-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 3.07% ROI
- 38-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -11.35% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 46-43 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.4% ROI).
- 53-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 2.39% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -6.12% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.24% ROI
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (33/210) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (41/265) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (23/154) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (130 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (31/110) against Charlie Morton this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (71/244) against Charlie Morton this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (342/773) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (36/110) against Charlie Morton this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Mets are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Mets are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 26-19 (.578) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 22-6 (.786) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Braves are 22-17 (.564) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Braves are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Braves are 31-19 (.620) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 74% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .282 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Mets hitters have 192 extra-base hits out of 616 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .724 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
Braves hitters have 224 extra-base hits out of 523 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .783 (940 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Braves hitters have 266 extra-base hits out of 630 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have walked 74 of 803 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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