• The Braves are -170 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: FOX

The New York Mets (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-170) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 36-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 45-40 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-3, 4.72 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 8-6, 2.09 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+19.90 Units / 332% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+19.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+13.70 Units / 228% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 away games (+21.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+17.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 45 games at home (+2.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+2.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-50 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -12.42% ROI).

• 36-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.1 Units / -26.72% ROI
• 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -6.84% ROI
• 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.38% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 45-40 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 10.57% ROI).

• 51-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 4.59% ROI
• 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -6.25% ROI
• 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.38% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 32-46 (.410) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 11-48 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Mets are just 18-33 (.353) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Mets are 17-6 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .632.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Braves are 26-16 (.619) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Braves are 26-5 (.839) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .607 (1,014 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,679 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .601 (807 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .672 (3,278 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 601 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 59% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have 143 extra-base hits out of 447 total hits (just 32%) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .249 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 151 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have allowed 0.91 runs per game (78/86) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.74 runs per game (322/86) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (382.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.