• The Mets are -102 favorites vs the Braves
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The New York Mets (-102) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-118) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 36-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 46-40 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 5-5, 3.77 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 6-5, 3.28 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.90 Units / 270% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+20.00 Units / 68% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+12.70 Units / 181% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 away games (+21.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-51 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -13.54% ROI).

• 36-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.1 Units / -27.36% ROI
• 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -5.75% ROI
• 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.49% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 46-40 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 11.63% ROI).

• 52-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 5.36% ROI
• 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.14% ROI
• 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -2.52% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 18-34 (.346) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Mets are just 32-46 (.410) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 4-40 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Mets are just 17-29 (.370) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 46-11 (.807) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Braves are 27-5 (.844) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .607 (1,028 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .612 (824 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,720 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .230 (1,755 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .305 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .560 (1,744 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have 151 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.46 (771.2 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.90 runs per game (78/87) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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