• The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | SNY

The New York Mets (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on July 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-7, 4.85 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 4-1, 3.33 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.90 Units / 224% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.70 Units / 146% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 away games (+21.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 33-46 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 11-49 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Mets are just 37-53 (.411) this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 18-6 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .634.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 27-5 (.844) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-13 (.629) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .611 (825 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .615 (1,043 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .231 (1,773 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

The Braves have a winning percentage of 59% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters have grounded into 37 double plays in 618 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .304 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have 152 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have allowed 0.94 runs per game (83/88) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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