Mets vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 30-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 27-34 ATS.

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -125O 8.5 -115+155
Braves -1.5 +105U 8.5 -105-190

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 75.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 60% ROI)

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Starling Marte 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Mark Canha 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Brett Baty 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Matt Olson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Starling Marte 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Mark Canha 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Brett Baty 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Starling Marte 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Mark Canha 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Brett Baty 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Matt Olson 0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Verlander 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Spencer Strider 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 23-39 against the Run Line (-20.25 Units / -25.96% ROI).

  • 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -18.07% ROI
  • 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -12.39% ROI
  • 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 3.54% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 27-34 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -9.05% ROI).

  • 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.96% ROI
  • 33-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 8.47% ROI
  • 25-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -17.39% ROI

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (227 Total Bases / 761 ABs) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .170 (63-for-370) against Justin Verlander since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .472 (400 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .365 (480 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .505 — 97th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (253/638) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 41% (61/147) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 41% (113 SO in 278 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 45% (133/299) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are 116-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Mets are 111-6 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Mets are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Mets are 96-13 (.881) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 31-21 (.596) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

The Braves are 12-6 (.667) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Mets hitters have just 1,689 strikeouts in 8,532 PA’s (20%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters have just 1,163 strikeouts in 5,888 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mets are batting .182 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .169.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .911 (614 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

Braves hitters are slugging .548 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .817 (2,252 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have walked 51 of 538 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
  • Peter Alonso (Mets): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.