- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mets vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 2-1 ATS.
Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Mitchell | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Carlos Carrasco | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 88 of their last 165 games (+18.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 169 games (+13.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 89 of their last 169 games (+8.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 165 games (+7.27 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 86.25% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 40.86% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 40.54% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 18.06% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (84 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .621 (82 Total Bases / 132 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .379 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .463 (57-for-123) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed an OPS of 1.539 (106 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .153 (60-for-391) against Freddy Peralta since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (138-for-794) against Freddy Peralta since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (97-for-531) against Freddy Peralta on pitches in the strike zone since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (29-for-213) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mets were 38-28 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Mets were 89-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are 118-17 (.874) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Mets are just 23-61 (.274) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Brewers are 11-120 (.084) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Brewers are 153-54 (.739) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Brewers were just 70-5 (.933) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Brewers are 66-51 (.564) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets scored first in 69% of their home games in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets batted .265 on the road in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters struck out just 382 times in 1,923 PA’s (20%) against LHP in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .336 (4,294 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters struck out 440 times in 1,711 PA’s (26%) against LHP in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have 818 strikeouts in 3,271 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers walked 84 of 1,449 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D15
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D15
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D15
Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
