• The Brewers are -220 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mets / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNY

The New York Mets (+180) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-220) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are 42-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 53-46 ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-8, 4.69 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 3-4, 5.14 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+9.90 Units / 198% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+19.00 Units / 211% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 42-56 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -10.85% ROI).

• 42-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.3 Units / -24.5% ROI
• 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -6.69% ROI
• 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -2.6% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 53-46 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 12.72% ROI).

• 62-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 8.58% ROI
• 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -12.95% ROI
• 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 4.31% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mets are just 22-36 (.379) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Mets are just 37-50 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 7-26 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Mets are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 11-26 (.297) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Brewers are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Brewers are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 41-20 (.672) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,170 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 103 total hits (just 25%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .611 (1,218 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 43% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 63% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .368 (432 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 20% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,148 of their 3,862 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 699 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 64% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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