• The Brewers are -150 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Mets / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNY

The New York Mets (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on July 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 0-1, 2.60 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 3-4, 5.14 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+29.00 Units / 290% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.05 Units / 65% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mets are just 12-54 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Mets are just 7-27 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Mets are just 37-50 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 11-26 (.297) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Brewers are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Brewers are 42-20 (.677) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Brewers are 63-37 (.630) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,183 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 43% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,739 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .352 with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are 11-26 (.297) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Brewers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,157 of their 3,899 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 702 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 64% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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