• The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mets / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNY

The New York Mets (+118) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on July 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are 43-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 54-47 ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 3-1, 2.87 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 3-1, 3.00 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+26.00 Units / 325% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+12.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.30 Units / 45% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 43-57 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -10.71% ROI).

• 43-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.15 Units / -24.01% ROI
• 46-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.73% ROI
• 48-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -2.64% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 54-47 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 12.49% ROI).

• 63-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 8.13% ROI
• 45-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -12.87% ROI
• 54-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 4.13% ROI

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Mets are just 38-50 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 23-36 (.390) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Mets are just 43-59 (.422) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Brewers are 11-27 (.289) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Brewers are 9-29 (.237) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Brewers are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 42-21 (.667) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .645 (1,196 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 42% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .663 (892 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 43% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 62% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-27 (.289) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,162 of their 3,929 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 51 double plays in 707 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Brewers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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