• The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Cardinals
• Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNY | ESUN

The New York Mets (-170) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+140) on April 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.

Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-0, 7.21 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-0, 1.80 ERA

Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.80 Units / 270% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 88% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.15 Units / 98% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets were 29-24 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Cardinals (fourth in runs scored).

The Mets are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 27-17 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals are 130-8 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 with runners on base since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had an OPS of .777 (4,398 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends

Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .462 (39 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .747 (82 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting .429 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers put 41% of their swings in play in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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