- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mets starting pitcher: José Quintana
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on FOX
The New York Mets (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Thursday, August 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Mets vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 54-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 60-61 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +110 | O 10 +100 | -140 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -135 | U 10 -120 | +115 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Adam Wainwright | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 46-74 against the Run Line (-37.75 Units / -24.81% ROI).
- 54-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.65 Units / -19.38% ROI
- 51-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -15.13% ROI
- 64-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 5.93% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-61 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.92% ROI).
- 54-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.75 Units / -18.71% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -3.16% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has not allowed a HR in any of his last 17 starts dating back to August 10th, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jose Quintana has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (10/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (311/611) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 55% (625/1,146) when ahead in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .404 (91-for-225) against Adam Wainwright on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .290 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (113-for-301) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed an OPS of 1.047 (304 PA’s) __SPLITSTRING__ this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .737 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed a slugging percentage of .618 (186 Total Bases / 301 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .423 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
keys to the game – home
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in just 34% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Mets hitters have just 668 strikeouts in 3,262 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Mets are batting just .229 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .745 (8,346 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .325 (8,346 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters are averaging just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,472 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 453 of 4,583 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 66 of 1,070 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, Day-to-Day
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Mark Vientos (Mets): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D15
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