- The Cardinals are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson
- Watch the game on BSMW
The New York Mets (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-150) on Friday, August 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 55-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 60-62 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -120 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 +100 | -150 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luken Baker | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Lucchesi | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Zack Thompson | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 26 away games (+1.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 47-74 against the Run Line (-36.45 Units / -23.8% ROI).
- 55-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.65 Units / -18.63% ROI
- 51-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.05 Units / -15.9% ROI
- 65-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.75 Units / 6.64% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-62 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -3.85% ROI).
- 54-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.75 Units / -19.22% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -5.71% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -2.39% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (131/524 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (60 Total Bases / 222 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — 95th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 28 of 267 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 60% (629/1,046) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Thompson has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (6 games) — 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 94th Percentile.
Zack Thompson has allowed an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (6 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (20/35) against Zack Thompson over the last 30 days (6 games) — 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Zack Thompson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (28/54) over the last 30 days (6 games) — 13th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 11th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets are just 38-18 (.679) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .782.
The Mets are 138-1 (.993) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 24-18 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-49 (.039) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are just 43-45 (.489) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cardinals are just 2-56 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .330 (7,512 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .743 (7,512 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mets hitters have just 674 strikeouts in 3,218 PA’s (21%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets have scored first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,497 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have 352 extra-base hits out of 861 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets pitchers have walked 458 of 4,621 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 66 of 1,079 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Mark Vientos (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
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