- The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mets vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 56-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 60-63 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Kodai Senga | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 away games (+2.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 48-74 against the Run Line (-35.45 Units / -22.92% ROI).
- 56-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.35 Units / -17.73% ROI
- 51-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.15 Units / -16.59% ROI
- 66-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 7.34% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-63 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -4.47% ROI).
- 54-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.25 Units / -19.97% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -6.48% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.63% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (73/257 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 0 Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (131/524 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (28-for-237) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 96th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 58% (376/645) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (190/1,157) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (68/422) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has walked 12 of 287 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (104/623) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Mets are just 2-55 (.035) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are 138-7 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Mets are 132-9 (.936) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-57 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cardinals are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-50 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in just 36% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Mets have scored first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets hitters have just 674 strikeouts in 3,294 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cardinals are batting .255 with two outs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .738 (3,387 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,274 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 67 of 1,088 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Mark Vientos (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
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