- The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Watch the game on BSMW
The New York Mets (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Mets vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 57-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 60-64 ATS.
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | O 10.5 -115 | +110 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 10.5 -105 | -130 |
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
| Carlos Carrasco | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 away games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 49-74 against the Run Line (-33.95 Units / -21.8% ROI).
- 57-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -17.01% ROI
- 52-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.15 Units / -15.71% ROI
- 66-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 6.5% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-64 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -5.46% ROI).
- 54-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.35 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -5.69% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -2.39% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (93 Total Bases / 124 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has located his fastball up for a strike just 44% (116/264) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .674 (93 Total Bases / 138 ABs) on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .457 — second Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (39 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .440 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (138/702) against Dakota Hudson since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (780/1,340) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,734/2,874) since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (147/251) against Dakota Hudson since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 140-1 (.993) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Mets are 51-1 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mets are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-51 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are just 27-37 (.422) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Cardinals are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in just 37% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Mets are batting just .236 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have just 1,525 strikeouts in 7,555 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .745 (7,555 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Cardinals are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,520 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 465 of 4,693 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 67 of 1,097 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Mark Vientos (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
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