Mets vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 30

St. Louis Cardinals' Victor Scott II celebrates after hitting an RBI double during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the New York Yankees Friday, Aug. 15, 2025, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Mets are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNY

The New York Mets (-155) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+125) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Mets are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 2-1 ATS.

Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.40 Units / 234% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+8.30 Units / 166% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.15 Units / 98% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 55% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 3.16% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 7.22% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 37.7% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 95.24% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -100% ROI

Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto (NYM) +425
Luis Robert (NYM) +500
Francisco Lindor (NYM) +500
Marcus Semien (NYM) +500
Ivan Herrera (STL) +550

Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Luis Robert (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Marcus Semien (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette (NYM) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jorge Polanco (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Luis Robert (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Marcus Semien (NYM) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clay Holmes (NYM) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
Kyle Leahy (STL) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 129-27 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Mets are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 129-8 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Cardinals are 38-26 (.594) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals are 27-17 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets hitters had an OBP of .332 (4,398 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters slugged just .489 when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s over the last 14 days — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mets pitchers since the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers had allowed a run just 27% of the time after their offense scored in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.