- The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNY
The New York Mets (-170) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+140) on March 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mets are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 2-2 ATS.
Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kodai Senga has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.15 Units / 98% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 68.75% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 18.4% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 3.7% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 44.71% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -53.85% ROI
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mets are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets were 29-24 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Cardinals (fourth in runs scored).
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 27-17 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are 129-8 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .757 (1,931 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .359 with bases empty in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .489 when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .680 (3,122 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters since the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Mets pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 101 double plays in 1,211 opportunities (8%) in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers put 41% of their swings in play in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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