• The Mets are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
• Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNY

The New York Mets (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-11 ATS.

Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-1, 3.86 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 0-1, 4.86 ERA

Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+23.50 Units / 294% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.90 Units / 118% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 35 away games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 7-13 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -25.11% ROI).

• 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -40.55% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -4.28% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -3.9% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-11 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -12.67% ROI).

• 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -10.71% ROI
• 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 27.03% ROI
• 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -34.29% ROI

Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are just 0-81 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 6-11 (.353) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Mets are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are 43-9 (.827) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs are just 3-6 (.333) after a win this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .293 (754 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters drew walks in 5% of their PA’s against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters slugged .441 on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters had an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 439.9 feet — — shortest in MLB

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 25 runners from first base in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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