Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Chicago Cubs' Nico Hoerner watches his RBI sacrifice fly during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Chicago. Chicago won 6-3. (AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
(AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
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  • The Mets are +105 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mets / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNY

The New York Mets (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 7-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 9-11 ATS.

Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-1, 3.46 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 1-1, 8.11 ERA

Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +170O 8 -115+105
Cubs +1.5 -210U 8 -105-125

Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • David Peterson has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 7-14 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -28.36% ROI).

  • 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -42.76% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -8.8% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.66% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 9-11 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -7.63% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -6.79% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 20.68% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -28.05% ROI

Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Mike Busch +475
MJ Melendez +525
Francisco Alvarez +550
Ian Happ +550
Seiya Suzuki +575

Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Mike Busch 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Luis Robert 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mark Vientos 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Brett Baty 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are just 7-14 (.333) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 6-12 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are 43-9 (.827) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs are 75-19 (.798) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets had an average Exit Velocity of 90.7 MPH in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters slugged .434 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (261 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .447 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .762 (3,524 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Mets pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers had allowed 149 home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 25 runners from first base in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.