Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (58-30) are favorites vs the (58-30)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (7-2), 2.62 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (2-5), 4.90 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Mets vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 56-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 43-46 ATS.

Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets O
Cubs U

Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nick Plummer has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Nick Plummer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 87% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Michael Hermosillo has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Michael Hermosillo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Christopher Morel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Ian Happ 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Christopher Morel 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Ian Happ 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Cubs vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Christopher Morel 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Ian Happ 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 90 games (+11.87 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+0.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 49-41 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 7.69% ROI).

  • 56-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 11.58% ROI
  • 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 5% ROI
  • 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -13.29% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 43-46 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.45% ROI).

  • 34-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.9 Units / -18.1% ROI
  • 42-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 43-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.12% ROI

Taijuan Walker has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.2 innings pitched — Triston McKenzie has the longest active streak at 21.1.

Taijuan Walker has walked 7 of 56 batters (12%) in late innings since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (14/84) against Taijuan Walker this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .327 (18-for-55) against Taijuan Walker’s elevated fastball this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .227 — eighth Percentile.

Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (635/1,746) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .125 (8 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 99th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has not allowed a walk in his last 63 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 1st — Tony Gonsolin has the longest active streak at 80.

Marcus Stroman has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.3 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (122 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 49-2 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mets are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Mets are 49-4 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cubs are just 34-42 (.447) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Cubs are 113-5 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 17-25 (.405) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Mets have scored first in 74% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .279 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.

The Mets are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .169.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 41 double plays in 288 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 632 strikeouts in 2,538 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters are slugging .636 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 898 of 9,636 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.