• The Mets are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Mets vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | SNY

The New York Mets (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on May 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Mets are 15-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 24-14 ATS.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Huascar Brazoban 2-0, 1.53 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 3-0, 2.50 ERA

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Andy Ibanez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+10.90 Units / 121% ROI)
• Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+17.60 Units / 176% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jorge Barrosa has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 14-25 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -22.88% ROI).

• 15-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -36.54% ROI
• 14-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -24.15% ROI
• 22-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 14.55% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 24-14 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 8.98% ROI).

• 18-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.03% ROI
• 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 6.33% ROI
• 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -13.86% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mets are just 7-16 (.304) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Mets are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Mets are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Mets are just 15-24 (.385) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Diamondbacks are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Diamondbacks are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Diamondbacks are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Diamondbacks are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .557 (450 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .171 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .408 (721 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .206 (721 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .244 (161 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .554 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 24% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .177 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .265 (351 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 19% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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