- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-9 ATS.
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| May | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| David Peterson | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.27 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 20.49% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 11.26% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -17.04% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 8.38% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -13.08% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -22.56% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.4% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -9.14% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against David Peterson’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (164/322) of right-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against David Peterson’s non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against David Peterson versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .115 (7-for-61) against Dustin May this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .100 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 96th Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OPS of just .171 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .512 — 97th Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .206 (68 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 96th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 110-57 (.659) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Mets are 95-5 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Mets are 95-26 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mets are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Dodgers are 6-47 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Dodgers are 27-17 (.614) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,640 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters have drawn 55 walks in 346 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .361 (778 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Mets hitters are slugging 1.100 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (4,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .829 (1,463 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (777.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1703.0 IP) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1591.1 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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