- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Mets (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-10 ATS.
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.27 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 23.7% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 15.86% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -10.79% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.9% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -17.86% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -26.05% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 6.61% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -14.52% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (149/262) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 43% (22/51) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 97th Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (108/200) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (221/379) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (144/376) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 76% of the time (59/78) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 62% of the time (534/859) when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 99-3 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mets are 99-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Mets are 7-4 (.636) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Mets are 95-26 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) as underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Dodgers are 27-18 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Dodgers are 6-48 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have drawn 57 walks in 380 PA’s (15%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets hitters have just 62 strikeouts in 380 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters are slugging 1.094 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,674 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (4,970 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 367 total hits (48%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .444 since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1703.0 IP) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 39 of 630 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 446 of 6,495 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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