Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 18, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • Watch the game on TBS

The New York Mets (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-10 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -150O 8.5 -115+135
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 8.5 -105-160

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Starling Marte 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Tommy Pham 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Mark Canha 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Starling Marte 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Tommy Pham 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Mark Canha 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Starling Marte 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Tommy Pham 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Mark Canha 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill 4.5 -140 4.5 +110
Clayton Kershaw 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.27 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 23.7% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 15.86% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -10.79% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.9% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -17.86% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -26.05% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 6.61% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -14.52% ROI

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (149/262) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 43% (22/51) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 97th Percentile.

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (108/200) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (221/379) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (144/376) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 76% of the time (59/78) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 62% of the time (534/859) when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are 99-3 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mets are 99-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Mets are 7-4 (.636) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Mets are 95-26 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) as underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Dodgers are 27-18 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Dodgers are 6-48 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Mets hitters have drawn 57 walks in 380 PA’s (15%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets hitters have just 62 strikeouts in 380 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters are slugging 1.094 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,674 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Dodgers hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (4,970 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Dodgers hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 367 total hits (48%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .444 since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1703.0 IP) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 39 of 630 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 446 of 6,495 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
  • Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60

Bet now on Mets vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.