- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Mets are 38-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 29-31 ATS.
Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 5-2, 3.23 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 3-1, 5.29 ERA
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -160 | O 9.5 -102 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 -118 | -150 |
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+10.15 Units / 254% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.75 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+8.09 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 69% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 56 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+3.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 33-28 against the Run Line (+5.29 Units / 6.73% ROI).
- 38-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
- 22-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.9 Units / -28.1% ROI
- 37-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 18.66% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 29-31 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.17% ROI).
- 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.89% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 13.54% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -20.75% ROI
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .903 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (855/1,438) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning has walked 10% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .262 (50-for-191) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of 1.153 (27 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 game) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .630 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (31/168) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin had a strikeout rate of just 14% (10/70) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are 43-34 (.558) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 194-37 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters are slugging .431 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .166 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .761 (2,222 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (10,762 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (14,960 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,391 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,251 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
More MLB Reading:
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