Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:14 AM
  • The Dodgers (35-18) are -185 favorites vs the Mets (36-19)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Trevor Williams (1-3), 3.57 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (3-5), 2.88 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 36-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 31-22 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -130O 9 -120+150
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 9 +100-185

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.52 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1H Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+14.2 Units / 22.19% ROI).

  • 36-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 14.96% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -10.25% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 31-22 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 9.88% ROI).

  • 35-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -13.74% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 4.84% ROI

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .677 (21 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .200 (4-for-20) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Jordan Montgomery’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — third Percentile.

91% of Jordan Montgomery’s breaking pitch strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (164/327) against Patrick Sandoval on changeups since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (8/70) against Patrick Sandoval with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has walked 17 of 137 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .136 (26-for-191) against Patrick Sandoval’s changeup since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

No Matchup notes for this Game

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

No Matchup notes for this Game

Yankees hitters are slugging .611 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 72% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .558 (4,519 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Angels hitters are slugging just .231 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

The Angels are batting just .175 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Angels have allowed 1.57 runs per game (85/54) in late innings this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Elbow, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Pelvis, D15
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoudler, D10
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.