Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 2

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Logan Webb throws during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Francisco Giants, Tuesday, April 2, 2024, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
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  • The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Giants
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The New York Mets (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on April 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 1-4 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 0-1, 3.38 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.40 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+15.30 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Robbie Ray has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 12.5% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -21.28% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -67.94% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 58.65% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 1-4 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -60.24% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -31.5% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -34.33% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 30.77% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 130-27 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Mets are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants are 21-136 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .643 (14 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 with runners on base since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

54% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters are slugging .708 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Giants are batting just .214 against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters slugged just .491 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.