Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 21, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
  • Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The New York Mets (+100) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 13-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-11 ATS.

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -190O 9 -120+100
Giants -1.5 +155U 9 +100-120

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 60.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
  • David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Starling Marte 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
J.D. Davis 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Starling Marte 1.5 +160 1.5 -210
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
J.D. Davis 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Starling Marte 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
J.D. Davis 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony DeSclafani 3.5 -135 3.5 +100
Joey Lucchesi 4.5 +115 4.5 -155
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 12-8 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 24.37% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 17.43% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -14.03% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.48% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -26.44% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -37.24% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 6.6% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -15.04% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

keys to the game – away

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

keys to the game – home

Mets hitters are slugging .975 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Mets hitters have just 139 strikeouts in 778 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.549 (54 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Mets hitters have just 71 strikeouts in 442 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .812 (486 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Giants hitters have 193 strikeouts in 715 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Giants are batting just .134 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Giants are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have walked 21 of 177 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 50 of 696 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
  • Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
  • Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
  • Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Neck stiffness, Day-to-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
  • Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
  • Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
  • José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.