- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on FOX
The New York Mets (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 14-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-12 ATS.
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| David Peterson | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 26.46% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 20.35% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -18.45% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.61% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 7-12 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -29.15% ROI).
- 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -40.58% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -9.55% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,038/1,743) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (12-for-28) against David Peterson on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against David Peterson’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (231/439) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb allowed a batting average of just .172 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 86th Percentile and .400 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (363/632) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (1,059/1,659) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (1,469/2,379) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Mets are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Mets are 102-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Mets are 114-58 (.663) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 52-61 (.460) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants are just 4-2 (.667) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Giants are 28-40 (.412) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Giants are just 13-31 (.295) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 148 strikeouts in 821 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters are slugging .975 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,776 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters have just 80 strikeouts in 482 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging .466 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Giants hitters have 205 strikeouts in 746 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have 128 strikeouts in 490 PA’s (26%) against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 86 of 786 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 909 of 12,811 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Justin Verlander (Mets): Teres Major, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D10
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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