• The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Giants
• Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mets / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | SNY

The New York Mets (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on April 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 2-5 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 1-0, 3.18 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in his last 8 away games (+12.25 Units / 153% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+12.20 Units / 81% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 87% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 4-4 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 13.13% ROI).

• 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -18.49% ROI
• 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI
• 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 2-5 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -48.03% ROI).

• 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -23.95% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -3.37% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -2.3% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Giants are 21-137 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 with runners on base since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets had an average Exit Velocity of 90.7 MPH in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants Hitting Stats & Trends

44% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .532 (179 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters since the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Giants Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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