- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | KNTV | WPIX
The New York Mets (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Friday, July 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
This season, the Mets are 59-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-59 ATS.
Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 8-5, 3.49 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 9-7, 3.11 ERA
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.60 Units / 146% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 98 games (+3.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 51-52 against the Run Line (-1.21 Units / -0.93% ROI).
- 59-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -14.09% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.75% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 44-59 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -12.83% ROI).
- 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -5.54% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -7.74% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.05% ROI
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clay Holmes has a strikeout rate of just 19% (5 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 65% (116/178) against Clay Holmes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (39/63) against Clay Holmes when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters this season — tied for eighth highest among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters last season — eighth lowest among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .448 (30-for-67) against Logan Webb on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — third Percentile.
Logan Webb has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (386/543) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a in-zone of just 36% (231/636) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 23-10 (.697) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 35-23 (.603) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Mets are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 8-41 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are 10-40 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Giants are 4-44 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Giants are 15-11 (.577) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Mets (Ranks sixth runs allowed) today.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .188 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are batting just .128 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Mets are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .219 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters are slugging just .437 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Giants hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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