- The Mets are -102 favorites vs the Giants
- Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | SNY | KNTV
The New York Mets (-102) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-118) on Saturday, July 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Mets are 60-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-60 ATS.
Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 6-4, 2.92 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 9-4, 2.95 ERA
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -105 | -102 |
| Giants | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -115 | -118 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.10 Units / 168% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+9.15 Units / 183% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Robbie Ray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 84 games (+7.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 52-52 against the Run Line (-0.21 Units / -0.16% ROI).
- 60-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -13.09% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 44-60 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -13.51% ROI).
- 54-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.5% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -2.09% ROI
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .240 (12-for-50) against David Peterson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (66/122) against David Peterson in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
David Peterson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 13 opportunities (31%) this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (39 Total Bases / 154 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — 96th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of just 56% (105/187) in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .031 (1-for-32) against Robbie Ray when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a first-pitch in-zone of just 42% (42/100) this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — first Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a first-pitch in-zone of just 49% (245/500) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — fourth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mets are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Mets are 17-90 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 20-4 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Giants are 8-42 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are 10-41 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Giants are 4-45 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .190 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .757 (2,883 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Mets are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .223 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Giants are batting just .214 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Giants hitters are slugging just .436 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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