- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Giants
- Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Giants TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Mets (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Mets are 61-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-60 ATS.
Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 7-3, 1.79 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Matt Gage 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -110 | -120 |
| Giants | +1.5 -170 | U 8 -110 | +100 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 88% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 away games (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 85 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 52-52 against the Run Line (-0.21 Units / -0.16% ROI).
- 61-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.15 Units / -13.92% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 4.48% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 44-60 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -13.35% ROI).
- 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.21% ROI
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .124 (17-for-137) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (15/106) against Kodai Senga this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has thrown just 46% of his pitches in the strike zone (600/1,315) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (8-for-67) against Kodai Senga with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Gage has allowed an OPS of just .220 (14 PA’s) in his last three appearances — tied for 15th best among among 226 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 93rd Percentile.
Matt Gage has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Matthew Boyd has the longest active streak at 23.2.
Matt Gage has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.0 innings pitched — David Peterson has the longest active streak at 19.0.
Matt Gage has thrown breaking pitches 63% of the time (17/27) vs left-handed batters over the last 14 days — 8th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 34% — 91st Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mets are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mets are 8-36 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are 4-46 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Giants are 10-42 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Giants are 20-4 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Giants are 8-43 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .190 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mets hitters are slugging .430 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .756 (2,894 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .434 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Giants are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,018 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 68% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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