Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Marlins (32-36) are -145 favorites vs the Mets (45-26)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (5-2), 2.88 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (7-2), 1.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The New York Mets (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-145) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mets vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 45-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 36-32 ATS.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -185O 7 +100+120
Marlins -1.5 +150U 7 -120-145

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+9.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 63% ROI)

Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taijuan Walker 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
Sandy Alcantara 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.32 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 11.34% ROI).

  • 45-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 13.94% ROI
  • 37-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 4.42% ROI
  • 30-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -13.15% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 1.59% ROI).

  • 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -7.78% ROI
  • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -8.13% ROI

Opponents are hitting .538 (14-for-26) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .333 — second Percentile.

Taijuan Walker allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .243 (33 Total Bases / 136 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 91st Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 116 of Taijuan Walker’s 530 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (13/104) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (13 Total Bases / 114 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 98th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has allowed an OPS of just .314 (195 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .107 (19-for-178) against Sandy Alcantara with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — 97th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are 37-7 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Mets are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Mets are 24-10 (.706) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Mets are 21-8 (.724) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Marlins are just 7-19 (.269) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Marlins are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Marlins are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Mets have scored first in 82% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 559 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .279 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,707 PA’s) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Marlins hitters have 633 strikeouts in 2,283 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .646 (2,283 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Marlins have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Marlins vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Brian Anderson (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Jeff McNeil (Mets): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Colin Holderman (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D15
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.